| ⌁ Canadian 90+ Day Delinquency RateDelinquency is expected to rise through mid-2027 before stabilizing. | consumer-credit | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 1.78%Current | 2.42%Base case | ↑ 0.64 | 82% | 2026-08-04 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Mortgage Renewal RateFixed-rate mortgage renewal pressure. | housing | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 18.60%Current | 22.50%Base case | ↑ 3.90 | 77% | 2026-07-05 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Bank of Canada Policy RateA gradual easing path remains the base case. | markets | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 2.75%Current | 2.25%Base case | ↓ 0.50 | 79% | 2026-08-03 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Canada CPI InflationInflation converges gradually with persistent services pressure. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 2.40%Current | 2.10%Base case | ↓ 0.30 | 85% | 2026-08-03 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Canada Unemployment RateLabour-market softening is likely to continue into early 2027. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 6.80%Current | 7.20%Base case | ↑ 0.40 | 77% | 2026-08-03 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ United States Recession ProbabilityProbability remains moderate as labour conditions cool. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 28.00%Current | 34.00%Base case | ↑ 6.00 | 73% | 2026-08-05 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Credit Card Balances (YOY)Total credit card balances are expected to continue rising. | consumer-credit | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 6.40%Current | 8.10%Base case | ↑ 1.70 | 78% | 2026-07-06 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Inflation (CPI)Headline inflation forecast. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 2.40%Current | 2.10%Base case | ↓ 0.30 | 85% | 2026-07-04 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Canada House Price GrowthNational prices remain range-bound with large regional dispersion. | housing | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 0.80%Current | -0.70%Base case | ↓ 1.50 | 71% | 2026-08-05 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ GDP Growth (Real)Quarterly annualized real GDP growth. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 1.30%Current | 1.60%Base case | ↑ 0.30 | 80% | 2026-07-03 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Household Savings RateAfter-tax savings rate forecast. | economy | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 3.50%Current | 3.10%Base case | ↓ 0.40 | 71% | 2026-07-05 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Canadian Consumer Spending GrowthSpending growth remains restrained by debt service and housing costs. | consumer-credit | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 1.60%Current | 1.20%Base case | ↓ 0.40 | 76% | 2026-08-05 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Auto Loan Delinquency RateAuto-loan delinquency forecast. | consumer-credit | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 0.87%Current | 1.23%Base case | ↑ 0.36 | 73% | 2026-07-03 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ North American Aerospace DeliveriesDeliveries grow, but remain below unconstrained demand. | aerospace | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 100.00indexCurrent | 112.00indexBase case | ↑ 12.00 | 74% | 2026-08-02 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Bank Net Interest MarginMajor-bank net interest margin outlook. | banking | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 2.11%Current | 2.05%Base case | ↓ 0.06 | 69% | 2026-07-04 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ P&C Claims InflationClaims inflation moderates but remains above pre-2020 norms. | insurance | 🇨🇦 Canada | 12M | 5.80%Current | 4.60%Base case | ↓ 1.20 | 75% | 2026-08-04 | ⋮ |
| ⌁ Aerospace Backlog ConversionDelivery conversion improves as selected bottlenecks ease. | aerospace | 🇨🇦 Canada | 24M | 68.00%Current | 75.00%Base case | ↑ 7.00 | 72% | 2026-08-04 | ⋮ |
