3
Lens:
consumer-credit

Canadian households enter a new phase of credit stress

Delinquencies are accelerating as savings buffers weaken and refinancing costs remain elevated.

Impact High87% confidence
commercial-real-estate

Commercial real-estate refinancing pressure is accelerating

A concentrated maturity wall is increasing downside risk for office and secondary retail assets.

Impact High82% confidence
markets

Rate-cut expectations shift toward a slower easing path

Sticky services inflation and resilient employment are changing the expected policy trajectory.

Impact Medium79% confidence
aerospace

Aerospace order books remain resilient despite supply constraints

Demand is strong, but engine availability and specialist labour remain production bottlenecks.

Impact High81% confidence
insurance

Claims inflation is easing unevenly across P&C lines

Auto repair severity remains elevated while property materials pressures are moderating.

Impact Medium76% confidence
artificial-intelligence

AI capital spending broadens beyond hyperscalers

Investment is spreading into financial services, industrials and healthcare workflows.

Impact High73% confidence